eToro Targets Late 2026 for Prediction Markets Launch
The financial trading platform eToro plans to enter the prediction markets space by late 2026. This follows a strong third quarter in 2025, where the firm surpassed profit estimates. eToro’s strategy is to initially focus on markets tied to financial, geopolitical, and economic events.
The company sees this as a valuable tool for users to refine trading strategies or hedge existing portfolios. Co-founder and CEO Yoni Assia confirmed the firm is already in discussions with two market leaders, Kalshi and Polymarket.
Strategy Focus and Infrastructure
eToro is specifically avoiding sports event contracts. This appears to be a cautious choice, given the regulatory scrutiny such contracts have drawn for other operators. The firm intends to build its prediction markets business on existing technical groundwork.
CEO Assia stated that the company’s recent expansion into futures trading across Europe has provided the necessary “infrastructure to support prediction markets in the U.S.”
eToro will use its established framework to launch the new offering. This framework is based on the company’s strong financial position. The firm reported $1.2 billion in cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2025.
This financial strength, combined with 3.73 million funded accounts, suggests eToro has the capital to compete effectively with current market leaders. Assia also confirmed eToro has a “large checkbook” and is “hungry” for acquisitions that add customer value.
Digital Asset Integration
The company also recognizes opportunities at the intersection of prediction markets and cryptocurrencies. eToro plans to launch a dedicated crypto wallet.
This wallet will enable customers to participate in on-chain prediction markets, such as those offered by “poly-chain and others.” This approach connects eToro’s core retail investment business to decentralized finance (DeFi) prediction products.
Recent Financial Performance
eToro’s plan to expand comes after solid performance in Q3 2025. The company reported adjusted earnings of 60 cents per share, exceeding analyst expectations of 56 cents per share.
The key financial metrics reported for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, include:
- Net Contribution: Increased 28% year-over-year to $215 million.
- Assets Under Administration (AUA): Grew 76% year-over-year, reaching $20.8 billion.
- Funded Accounts: Totaled 3.73 million, marking a 16% annual increase.
This strong financial backing supports the company’s aggressive growth plans. The growth was driven by a buoyant retail market, fueled by rising stock prices and optimism surrounding the Artificial Intelligence (AI) boom.
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